Monday, 31 December 2012

RAMALAN, Analisi dan JANGKAAN Pelaburan EMAS 2013


Assalamualaikum..
Salam sejahtera salam Emas Master buat semua..
Tahun 2012 telah berlalu dengan pelbagai kenangan dan pengajaran.. Semoga kebaikan yang banyak untuk kita.. kerana  'orang mukmin sentiasa beruntung.. samada ketika ditimpa musibah dan ketika mendapat nikmat.."
Sabar dengan musibah..hilang dosa..bertambah pahala dan darjat..
Bersyukur dengan nikmat..ditambah nikmat ditambah pahala.. ditingkat darjat 

Jom kita lihat sikit apa pendapat pakar-pakar analisis tentang pelaburan dan harga emas 2013

secara ringkas Pada tahun 2013, ramai juga pakar emas barat meramalkan bahawa harga emas bakal mencecah USD2000/oz  tengok video di sini

Video: Gold is Expected to Shine Again in 2013 | Dec 28, 2012

 Terdapat banyak pendapat pakar dari institusi pelaburan terhadap jangkauan harga emas TAHUN 2013:

1- Swiss bank UBS mengjangkakan harga purata emas 2013 meningkat 14% kepada US$1,900/oz

2- Ramalan dari London market – Maker Barclay - US$1,815/oz

3-Investment bank Morgan Stanley mengjangkakan purata harga emas meningkat kepada US$2,000/oz pada 2013 dan US$2,400/oz pada 2014
  
4-Capital Economic meramalkan emas meningkat kepada US$2,200/oz pada lewat 2013

Faktor lain yang boleh dianggap penting untuk menjangkakan harga emas mungkin naik pada hadapan ialah kerana tahun 2012 harga emas agak statik atau rendah.. emas biasanya akan melonjak setalah ia jatuh atau statik selain itu jangkaan pemulihan ekonomi juga mungkin merangsang kenaikan harga emas.

Mari kita lihat trens emas jatuh dan naik.

 Cuba anda perhatikan berapakah peratus kenaikan harga emas bagi tahun 2008 – 2009?

Berdasarkan kepada Jadual di atas, dapatlah kita simpulkan bahawa keuntungan pelaburan emas pada tahun 2008 – 2009 adalah 99.26 % setahun. Kenaikan yang amat mendadak ini adalah berkait rapat dengan penurunan harga emas sebanyak 35% pada tahun 2008.
Mari kita kirakan keuntungan yang and perolehi sekiranya anda membeli 100 gram emas pada tahun 2008.


Harga Belian pada tahun 2008 = RM 64.30 per gram

Harga Emas pada tahun 2009 = RM 128.12 per gram

Keuntungan Pelaburan Emas pada setahun = RM 128.12 – RM 64.30 = RM 63.82 per gram.

Jadi, keuntungan anda jika anda telah membeli 100 gram emas pada tahun 2008 = RM 63.82 x 100 gram = RM 6,382.00!

Itu adalah kiraan sekiranya anda memiliki 100 gram emas. Bagaimana pula jika anda miliki 200 g emas, 500 gram emas, 1,000 g emas, 4,000 gram emas?? Haha….cuba anda kirakan keuntungan pelaburan emas anda dengan menekan kalkulator anda!
 Baiklah, mungkin anda pertikaikan….

    Alah! Itu tahun 2008…dah lepas…apa kaitannya dengan pelaburan emas tahun 2012?
    Benda ni dah berlaku, nak buat camana? Tiada sesiapa yang beritahu kepada anda pada tahun 2008 tersebut..
    Bagaimana pula dengan kadar keuntungan pelaburan emas pada tahun 2013 sekiranya anda mula melabur emas pada waktu sekarang? Tahun 2012..

Sejarah keuntungan setahun pada kadar 99.25 % setahun mungkin akan berlaku sekali lagi pada tahun 2013. Cuma…peratus keuntungan sahaja yang tiada siapa yang berani memberikan jaminan kepada anda.

Pakar pelaburan emas sedunia meramalkan bahawa, pada tahun 2012… harga emas bakal mencecah kepada USD 2,200 per Oz. (1 Oz = 28.35 gram emas). Maka, diramalkan harga emas bakal melonjak kepada:

 1 Oz = USD 2,200 / 28.35 = USD 77.60 per gram emas

1 gram emas = USD 77.60 x 3 = RM 232.80

 (petikan dari web)

KESIMPULANNNYA.. 
 Terdapat jangkaan dan analisis yang mengatakan harga emas akan meningkat dengan baik pada tahun 2013... walaupun tidak semua jangkaan dan analisis tepat..bagi admin untuk PELABURAN PASIF buat masa ini Emas adalah antara yang terbaik..

dan sekurang2nya dengan melabur dengan emas.. ASET dan simpanan kita adalah KALIS INFLASI serta MENABUNG dalam EMAS sememangnya terbukti mampu menyimpan tabungan anda serta MUNGKIN AKAN MENGGANDAKAN ASET ANDA dengan GANDAAN YANG BESAR jika jangkaan kenaikkan ini betul.

hubungi admin untuk info emas atau membeli emas.. atau nak berniga emas icon smile Untung rugi pelaburan emas 2012
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  Sesiapa yang rajin boleh terus baca artikel di bawah :

3 Gold Price Predictions For 2013
By Ryan Fuhrmann
The Federal Reserve’s stated mission is to provide "the nation with a safe, flexible, and stable monetary and financial system." This has historically meant doing its best to keep inflation levels stable and low. It has achieved this goal for more than two decades now, but has decided to shift its focus a bit toward increasing the pace of economic growth. Other central banks across the globe have a similar stance, and this is worrying a number of market experts that it could eventually lead to high inflation. Gold is known as a solid inflation hedge, and could earn this reputation in 2013 if inflation picks up. Below are three well-known gold bugs and their bold predictions for investing in gold next year and beyond.
Jim Rogers
I am not selling my gold and silver … gold and silver will both go much, much higher over the course of the bull market.
The above quote was attributed to Jim Rogers in an October interview. Rogers has been an advocate of physical assets and commodities, including gold, throughout his investing career. His initial success was as a co-founder of the Quantum Fund, along with George Soros in the 1970s, that coincided with one of the larger commodity bull runs in recent times. In the above quote, he appears to be arguing that strong stock market returns will support higher gold prices, not so much because stocks are moving higher but because the potential exists for a market correction if and once the market falls. Rogers has been highly critical of expansionary monetary policy, which increases the money supply and can lead to asset bubbles, such as the stock market.
Jeremy Grantham
As inflation picks up, the real price of gold goes up.
Critics of expansionary monetary policy, including Rogers, worry that it will lead to inflation. Jeremy Grantham, who heads firm GMO that runs $97 billion in client assets, wrote the above in a recent letter to his clients. The Forbes article that detailed the quote also referenced the well-known "Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook" that explained gold can be a great hedge against inflation. It attributed this to the simple fact that investors turn to gold during times of uncertainty and that this expectation becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy, meaning that this increased demand drives gold prices up. Interestingly, the study found that investing in stocks also offers an inflation-hedge and that stock returns have far outpaced gold returns over time. However, both asset classes have appeal during periods of inflation.
John Paulson
By the time inflation becomes evident, gold will probably have moved, which implies that now is the time to build a position in gold.
John Paulson is best known as one of the few investors to have bet big on the bursting of the housing market. He grew fantastically wealth because of the timely call around 2008 and has picked up billions of dollars in additional assets to manage in his hedge funds. So far in 2012, Paulson has invested rather aggressively in gold-related assets including buying the shares of gold miners and producers, as well as investing directly in the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). His arguments echo that of both Rogers and Grantham in that he expects gold to rise if and once inflation accelerates, which could occur because of easy money thanks to expansionary monetary policy.
Bottom Line
It’s important to note that these investors aren’t making a specific call that inflation will increase in 2013. They just expect it to accelerate at some point going forward. It could be as soon as 2013, or beyond that, although there is also of course the possibility that inflation levels don’t pick up that much at all.


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